Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-05-09 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 55.3%

CAR: 44.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.15

CAR: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

V. Vanecek

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	29	23	6	79.3%	2.95	5	-3.05
CAR	Frederik Andersen	22	21	1	95.5%	1.74	2	0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	12	2	0.94
1	CAR	13	3	1.06
2	NJD	11	0	0.53
2	CAR	14	2	1.24
3	NJD	6	0	0.27
3	CAR	13	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9