Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-05-13 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SEA: 54.4%

DAL: 45.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.37

DAL: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	20	3	87.0%	2.31	0	-0.69
DAL	Jake Oettinger	29	23	6	79.3%	3.08	3	-2.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • SEA at home vs DAL: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	20	2	1.30
1	DAL	11	0	0.62
2	SEA	14	0	0.73
2	DAL	21	0	1.10
3	SEA	9	1	1.05
3	DAL	12	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2