Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-05-20 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 2 Florida Panthers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 55.8%

FLA: 44.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.27

FLA: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

CAR

A. Raanta

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	26	24	2	92.3%	1.97	1	-0.03
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	38	37	1	97.4%	3.91	2	2.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • CAR at home vs FLA: 4-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	0	1.33
1	FLA	17	1	0.95
2	CAR	16	2	1.64
2	FLA	9	0	0.43
3	CAR	14	0	0.75
3	FLA	4	0	0.27
4	CAR	2	0	0.18
4	FLA	4	0	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9