Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-06-10 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

FLA: 48.6%

VGK: 51.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.05

VGK: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	28	3	90.3%	3.78	0	0.78
VGK	Adin Hill	31	29	2	93.5%	2.11	0	0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs VGK: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-10	VGK 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-25	FLA 3 - 0 VGK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-26	VGK 4 - 1 FLA	VGK	VGK
2024-10-19	FLA 4 - 3 VGK	FLA	FLA
2024-01-04	VGK 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	22	1.09
1	VGK	17	1.24
2	FLA	10	0.45
2	VGK	19	1.46
3	FLA	16	0.58
3	VGK	11	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3