Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-01-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYR: 60.5%

WSH: 39.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.88

WSH: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	2	1.15
1	WSH	10	1	0.68
2	NYR	16	0	0.81
2	WSH	14	2	1.19
3	NYR	17	3	1.76
3	WSH	13	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0