New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-01-15 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 0 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 47.7%
NJD: 52.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.55
NJD: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs NJD: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | BOS 4 - 0 NJD | BOS | NJD |
| 2026-03-16 | NJD 4 - 3 BOS | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-12-06 | BOS 4 - 1 NJD | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-15 | BOS 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-08 | NJD 2 - 7 BOS | BOS | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 25 | 0 | 2.18 |
| 1 | NJD | 11 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 2 | BOS | 13 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 2 | NJD | 14 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 3 | BOS | 14 | 2 | 2.11 |
| 3 | NJD | 19 | 0 | 0.73 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 0 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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