San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-01-15 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

BUF: 73.4%

SJS: 26.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.30

SJS: 2.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BUF at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	SJS 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-10	BUF 6 - 3 SJS	BUF	BUF
2025-03-04	BUF 2 - 6 SJS	SJS	BUF
2024-11-23	SJS 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-27	SJS 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	9	1	0.69
1	SJS	13	0	0.34
2	BUF	16	0	0.89
2	SJS	19	1	1.23
3	BUF	23	2	2.12
3	SJS	14	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 0 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.3