Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-01-15 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 62.7%
ANA: 37.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.80
ANA: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • FLA at home vs ANA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | ANA 7 - 3 FLA | ANA | FLA |
| 2025-10-28 | FLA 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | FLA |
| 2025-01-21 | ANA 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-18 | FLA 3 - 0 ANA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-15 | FLA 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 17 | 0 | 1.48 |
| 1 | ANA | 9 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 2 | FLA | 19 | 0 | 1.26 |
| 2 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 3 | FLA | 20 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | ANA | 15 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 4 | FLA | 1 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 4 | ANA | 2 | 0 | 0.24 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.9
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