Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-01-15 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 0 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 49.8%

SEA: 50.2%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.04

SEA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • PIT at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	PIT
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	18	0	0.85
1	SEA	8	0	0.32
2	PIT	16	1	1.00
2	SEA	16	0	0.48
3	PIT	12	1	1.32
3	SEA	14	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2