Colorado Avalanche at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-01-15 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 49.5%

COL: 50.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.90

COL: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MTL 7 - 3 COL	MTL	MTL
2025-11-29	COL 7 - 2 MTL	COL	COL
2025-03-22	MTL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-01-04	COL 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	COL
2024-03-26	COL 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	1	1.09
1	COL	19	0	0.75
2	MTL	12	1	0.92
2	COL	21	0	1.03
3	MTL	11	1	1.37
3	COL	14	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5