Philadelphia Flyers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-01-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

STL: 47.5%

PHI: 52.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.09

PHI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs PHI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-20	PHI 3 - 2 STL	PHI	PHI
2025-11-14	STL 5 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2024-11-30	STL 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	STL
2024-10-31	PHI 2 - 1 STL	PHI	PHI
2024-03-04	PHI 1 - 2 STL	STL	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	9	0	0.39
1	PHI	19	1	0.97
2	STL	13	1	0.91
2	PHI	25	0	1.74
3	STL	18	1	0.86
3	PHI	15	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0