Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-01-15 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 64.9%

NSH: 35.1%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.06

NSH: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	6	1	0.65
1	NSH	16	0	0.71
2	VGK	22	0	1.28
2	NSH	17	0	1.08
3	VGK	14	1	1.04
3	NSH	22	0	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.5