Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-01-16 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

WSH: 52.4%

ANA: 47.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.06

ANA: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs ANA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	ANA
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	WSH
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	1	0.63
1	ANA	4	0	0.18
2	WSH	14	1	1.24
2	ANA	12	0	0.60
3	WSH	11	2	1.47
3	ANA	24	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2