New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-01-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

WPG: 73.1%

NYI: 26.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 4.25

NYI: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	WPG 5 - 4 NYI	WPG	WPG
2025-10-13	NYI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NYI
2025-03-04	NYI 3 - 2 WPG	NYI	WPG
2025-02-07	WPG 4 - 3 NYI	WPG	WPG
2024-03-23	NYI 6 - 3 WPG	NYI	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	1	1.10
1	NYI	17	0	0.72
2	WPG	25	0	1.48
2	NYI	18	0	1.06
3	WPG	19	3	2.30
3	NYI	15	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 4.3 - 2.8