Arizona Coyotes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-01-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 48.6%

ARI: 51.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.07

ARI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs ARI: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-14	CGY 6 - 5 ARI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-16	CGY 3 - 2 ARI	CGY	ARI
2024-01-11	ARI 2 - 6 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	10	0	0.59
1	ARI	8	1	0.59
2	CGY	10	0	0.51
2	ARI	17	0	0.92
3	CGY	12	1	1.08
3	ARI	16	0	1.06
4	CGY	10	0	0.61
4	ARI	3	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3