Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-01-17 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 61.3%

DET: 38.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.45

DET: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • FLA at home vs DET: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	1	1.36
1	DET	13	1	0.52
2	FLA	19	1	1.49
2	DET	12	0	0.50
3	FLA	15	0	0.87
3	DET	10	0	0.29
4	FLA	0	0	0.00
4	DET	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5