Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-01-17 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.2%

MTL: 38.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.22

MTL: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs MTL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	MTL
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	0	1.05
1	MTL	13	3	1.18
2	NJD	17	3	2.05
2	MTL	10	1	0.75
3	NJD	18	1	0.91
3	MTL	10	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9