Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-01-18 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 6 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

OTT: 71.4%

MTL: 28.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.63

MTL: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • OTT at home vs MTL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-11	OTT 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	OTT
2026-01-17	OTT 5 - 6 MTL	MTL	OTT
2025-12-02	MTL 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-11-01	MTL 4 - 3 OTT	MTL	MTL
2025-04-11	OTT 5 - 2 MTL	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	28	0	1.27
1	MTL	11	0	0.77
2	OTT	19	0	1.00
2	MTL	14	0	0.58
3	OTT	14	1	1.50
3	MTL	10	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 6 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8