Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-01-18 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

PHI: 51.2%

DAL: 48.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.10

DAL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • PHI at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	PHI 2 - 1 DAL	PHI	DAL
2025-11-15	DAL 5 - 1 PHI	DAL	DAL
2025-03-22	DAL 3 - 2 PHI	DAL	DAL
2025-01-09	PHI 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-01-18	PHI 5 - 1 DAL	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	17	0	0.77
1	DAL	4	0	0.43
2	PHI	18	0	0.95
2	DAL	10	0	0.49
3	PHI	20	1	1.45
3	DAL	12	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2