New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-01-18 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

VGK: 62.9%

NYR: 37.1%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.27

NYR: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	NYR 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-18	VGK 3 - 2 NYR	VGK	VGK
2025-02-02	NYR 4 - 2 VGK	NYR	VGK
2025-01-11	VGK 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	VGK
2024-01-26	NYR 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	1	0.99
1	NYR	16	0	0.93
2	VGK	8	1	0.71
2	NYR	13	0	0.58
3	VGK	9	1	1.39
3	NYR	19	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7