Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-01-19 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 6 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 65.6%
MIN: 34.4%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.80
MIN: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs MIN: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | FLA 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | FLA |
| 2026-01-24 | MIN 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-18 | MIN 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-22 | FLA 1 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-01-19 | FLA 4 - 6 MIN | MIN | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 14 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 1 | MIN | 7 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 2 | FLA | 11 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 2 | MIN | 16 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 3 | FLA | 32 | 0 | 1.96 |
| 3 | MIN | 15 | 1 | 1.23 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 6 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.8 - 3.3
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