New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-01-19 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 47.0%
NYI: 53.0%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.34
NYI: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | NYI |
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | NYI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 18 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 1 | NYI | 16 | 0 | 1.19 |
| 2 | CHI | 10 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 2 | NYI | 17 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 3 | CHI | 5 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 3 | NYI | 14 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 4 | CHI | 1 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 4 | NYI | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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