Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-01-20 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 51.9%

WPG: 48.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.15

WPG: 3.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	OTT 4 - 2 WPG	OTT	OTT
2025-12-15	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-02-26	OTT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	OTT
2024-12-28	WPG 4 - 2 OTT	WPG	OTT
2024-03-30	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	8	0	0.41
1	WPG	9	0	0.40
2	OTT	24	0	1.09
2	WPG	11	0	0.63
3	OTT	15	1	0.69
3	WPG	17	0	0.71
4	OTT	1	0	0.11
4	WPG	4	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.9