Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-01-20 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 9 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

BOS: 51.1%

MTL: 48.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.19

MTL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • BOS at home vs MTL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	MTL 3 - 2 BOS	MTL	MTL
2026-01-24	BOS 4 - 3 MTL	BOS	BOS
2025-12-23	BOS 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	BOS
2025-11-15	MTL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	MTL
2025-04-03	MTL 4 - 1 BOS	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	17	0	1.06
1	MTL	14	0	0.86
2	BOS	17	0	1.35
2	MTL	10	0	0.58
3	BOS	11	2	1.29
3	MTL	8	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 9 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2