Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-01-20 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 6 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NJD: 49.5%

DAL: 50.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.13

DAL: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs DAL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DAL 4 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL
2025-12-03	NJD 0 - 3 DAL	DAL	NJD
2025-03-04	DAL 4 - 3 NJD	DAL	DAL
2025-02-22	NJD 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-14	DAL 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	20	0	0.70
1	DAL	19	2	1.28
2	NJD	9	0	0.75
2	DAL	21	2	1.89
3	NJD	18	1	0.98
3	DAL	10	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 6 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0