Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-01-20 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

VAN: 50.5%

TOR: 49.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.11

TOR: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	VAN 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	VAN
2026-01-10	TOR 5 - 0 VAN	TOR	TOR
2025-02-08	VAN 2 - 1 TOR	VAN	TOR
2025-01-11	TOR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	TOR
2024-01-20	VAN 6 - 4 TOR	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	1	0.86
1	TOR	11	0	0.41
2	VAN	10	1	0.54
2	TOR	20	0	0.78
3	VAN	12	1	1.24
3	TOR	27	2	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1