Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-01-20 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 53.0%
WSH: 47.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.21
WSH: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-05 | WSH 6 - 1 STL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-27 | WSH 2 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2024-11-09 | STL 1 - 8 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-20 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 15 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 1 | WSH | 9 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 2 | STL | 10 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 2 | WSH | 12 | 1 | 1.29 |
| 3 | STL | 14 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 3 | WSH | 6 | 1 | 0.49 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.