Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-01-20 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 42.8%

ANA: 57.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.13

ANA: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • SJS at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.19
1	ANA	17	1	1.04
2	SJS	8	0	0.68
2	ANA	12	1	1.07
3	SJS	19	2	2.05
3	ANA	19	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2