Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-01-21 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 72.0%
MIN: 28.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.09
MIN: 2.28
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CAR at home vs MIN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | MIN 4 - 3 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-11-06 | CAR 4 - 3 MIN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-06 | MIN 2 - 1 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-01-04 | CAR 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | CAR |
| 2024-02-27 | MIN 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 25 | 2 | 1.87 |
| 1 | MIN | 4 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 2 | CAR | 21 | 1 | 1.57 |
| 2 | MIN | 12 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 3 | CAR | 19 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 3 | MIN | 12 | 4 | 3.08 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 72.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 4.1 - 2.3
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