Dallas Stars at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-01-21 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NYI: 54.9%

DAL: 45.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.09

DAL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NYI 2 - 1 DAL	NYI	DAL
2025-11-18	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-02-23	NYI 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	NYI
2024-10-12	DAL 3 - 0 NYI	DAL	DAL
2024-02-26	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	0	0.82
1	DAL	21	0	0.90
2	NYI	6	0	0.32
2	DAL	18	1	1.09
3	NYI	13	0	1.01
3	DAL	19	0	1.10
4	NYI	1	0	0.19
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1