New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-01-21 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 54.1%

NYR: 45.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.97

NYR: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	6	1	0.41
1	NYR	14	1	0.89
2	ANA	7	0	0.52
2	NYR	20	0	1.29
3	ANA	9	0	0.37
3	NYR	19	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3