Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-01-21 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 58.4%

TOR: 41.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.89

TOR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	0.55
1	TOR	15	0	0.76
2	SEA	9	1	0.77
2	TOR	18	0	1.29
3	SEA	9	0	0.42
3	TOR	14	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2