Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-01-22 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 45.7%
WPG: 54.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.76
WPG: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | BOS 6 - 1 WPG | BOS | WPG |
| 2025-12-11 | WPG 3 - 6 BOS | BOS | WPG |
| 2025-01-30 | BOS 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-10 | WPG 8 - 1 BOS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-01-22 | BOS 4 - 1 WPG | BOS | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 11 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 1 | WPG | 10 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 2 | BOS | 15 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 2 | WPG | 8 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 3 | BOS | 10 | 2 | 2.01 |
| 3 | WPG | 17 | 1 | 0.86 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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