Pittsburgh Penguins at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-01-22 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 46.1%

PIT: 53.9%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.47

PIT: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs PIT: 1-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-22	ARI 5 - 2 PIT	ARI	PIT
2023-12-12	PIT 4 - 2 ARI	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.72
1	PIT	10	1	0.98
2	ARI	14	0	1.05
2	PIT	10	1	0.74
3	ARI	14	1	1.96
3	PIT	14	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2