San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-01-22 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 73.2%
SJS: 26.8%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.85
SJS: 2.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 24 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1 | SJS | 11 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 2 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 2 | SJS | 16 | 2 | 1.37 |
| 3 | LAK | 22 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 3 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 4 | LAK | 5 | 1 | 0.56 |
| 4 | SJS | 2 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 5 | LAK | 2 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 5 | SJS | 2 | 2 | 1.50 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 73.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.1
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