Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-01-23 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

DET: 39.9%

DAL: 60.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.88

DAL: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	DAL 3 - 2 DET	DAL	DAL
2025-12-23	DET 4 - 3 DAL	DET	DET
2025-04-14	DET 6 - 4 DAL	DET	DET
2025-01-19	DAL 4 - 1 DET	DAL	DAL
2024-01-23	DET 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	1	1.16
1	DAL	10	0	0.34
2	DET	11	0	0.61
2	DAL	27	0	1.89
3	DET	20	1	1.31
3	DAL	10	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4