Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-01-23 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

MIN: 56.5%

WSH: 43.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.49

WSH: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs WSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	MIN 5 - 0 WSH	MIN	WSH
2025-10-17	WSH 5 - 1 MIN	WSH	WSH
2025-03-27	MIN 4 - 2 WSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-02	WSH 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WSH
2024-01-23	MIN 5 - 3 WSH	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	2	1.32
1	WSH	12	0	0.46
2	MIN	18	0	1.14
2	WSH	15	0	0.68
3	MIN	10	0	0.52
3	WSH	18	1	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1