St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-01-23 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 55.2%

STL: 44.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.34

STL: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	19	1	1.23
1	STL	10	0	0.71
2	CGY	21	0	1.06
2	STL	13	2	1.19
3	CGY	9	0	0.42
3	STL	12	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9