Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-01-23 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 47.2%

BUF: 52.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.81

BUF: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	0	0.91
1	BUF	17	1	0.85
2	ANA	22	0	1.63
2	BUF	11	1	1.02
3	ANA	9	1	1.04
3	BUF	20	0	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2