New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-01-23 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 31.9%

NYR: 68.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.59

NYR: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	1	1.31
1	NYR	14	0	0.66
2	SJS	10	0	0.61
2	NYR	16	0	1.03
3	SJS	10	0	0.45
3	NYR	13	0	0.65
4	SJS	2	0	0.13
4	NYR	2	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.8