Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-01-24 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

COL: 81.0%

WSH: 19.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.52

WSH: 2.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	WSH 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-01-19	COL 5 - 2 WSH	COL	COL
2024-11-21	WSH 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-11-15	COL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	COL
2024-02-13	WSH 3 - 6 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	11	0	0.49
1	WSH	14	0	0.55
2	COL	16	1	1.06
2	WSH	21	0	1.47
3	COL	15	1	1.61
3	WSH	12	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.5 - 2.1