St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-01-24 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 58.5%

STL: 41.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.50

STL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	0.56
1	STL	12	0	0.77
2	VAN	16	0	0.95
2	STL	8	1	0.74
3	VAN	22	5	2.38
3	STL	7	0	0.34
4	VAN	1	0	0.15
4	STL	2	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2