Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-01-24 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 62.3%
BUF: 37.7%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.73
BUF: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • LAK at home vs BUF: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | BUF |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 17 | 0 | 1.08 |
| 1 | BUF | 18 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 2 | LAK | 18 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 2 | BUF | 14 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 3 | LAK | 21 | 1 | 1.56 |
| 3 | BUF | 15 | 0 | 0.55 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 2.7 - 3.1
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