New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-01-25 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 56.4%
NJD: 43.6%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.57
NJD: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CAR 5 - 2 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 10 | 1 | 0.63 |
| 1 | NJD | 13 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 2 | CAR | 18 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 2 | NJD | 8 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 3 | CAR | 10 | 2 | 1.30 |
| 3 | NJD | 13 | 2 | 1.35 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.