Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-01-25 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 39.1%

PHI: 60.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.16

PHI: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs PHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	DET 6 - 3 PHI	DET	PHI
2026-04-02	PHI 2 - 4 DET	DET	PHI
2026-03-28	DET 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-01-21	PHI 2 - 1 DET	PHI	PHI
2024-12-18	DET 6 - 4 PHI	DET	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	0	0.61
1	PHI	15	1	1.06
2	DET	9	1	0.47
2	PHI	17	0	0.69
3	DET	9	0	0.36
3	PHI	15	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4