New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-01-25 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

MTL: 51.6%

NYI: 48.4%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.36

NYI: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MTL at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NYI 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NYI
2026-03-21	MTL 7 - 3 NYI	MTL	MTL
2026-02-26	MTL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MTL
2025-03-20	NYI 4 - 3 MTL	NYI	MTL
2024-12-03	MTL 2 - 1 NYI	MTL	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	15	3	2.17
1	NYI	19	3	1.64
2	MTL	8	0	0.45
2	NYI	25	1	1.48
3	MTL	9	1	0.83
3	NYI	25	3	2.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0