Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-01-25 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 71.7%

BOS: 28.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.64

BOS: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • OTT at home vs BOS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	12	1	0.69
1	BOS	4	0	0.10
2	OTT	15	0	0.80
2	BOS	12	0	0.78
3	OTT	18	0	0.55
3	BOS	10	0	0.16
4	OTT	2	0	0.16
4	BOS	3	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0