Vegas Golden Knights at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-01-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 54.2%

VGK: 45.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.67

VGK: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs VGK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	NYR 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-18	VGK 3 - 2 NYR	VGK	VGK
2025-02-02	NYR 4 - 2 VGK	NYR	VGK
2025-01-11	VGK 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	VGK
2024-01-26	NYR 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	20	0	1.18
1	VGK	12	0	0.55
2	NYR	11	0	0.43
2	VGK	12	0	0.49
3	NYR	24	1	1.43
3	VGK	8	3	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.7 - 2.8