Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-01-26 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PIT: 44.2%

FLA: 55.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.01

FLA: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	14	0	0.42
1	FLA	12	1	0.71
2	PIT	20	0	1.23
2	FLA	13	0	0.83
3	PIT	15	1	0.90
3	FLA	18	1	1.21
4	PIT	1	0	0.10
4	FLA	3	0	0.15
5	PIT	3	1	1.01
5	FLA	3	2	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.8