Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-01-26 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 46.4%
LAK: 53.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.04
LAK: 3.45
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • COL at home vs LAK: 6-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | LAK 1 - 5 COL | COL | LAK |
| 2026-04-23 | LAK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-21 | COL 2 - 1 LAK | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-19 | COL 2 - 1 LAK | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-02 | LAK 2 - 4 COL | COL | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 15 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 1 | LAK | 10 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 2 | COL | 15 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | LAK | 14 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | COL | 10 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 3 | LAK | 12 | 0 | 0.63 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5
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